166 Comments 2024-07-04

Trillion Yuan to Flood China, Price Surge Incoming?

Introduction

The interest rate adjustments of the Federal Reserve System (the Fed) have always been a focal point of global attention. Recently, discussions about the Fed's potential rate cuts have sparked a wave of interest. Both financial experts and ordinary people are closely watching that pivotal moment to see if the Fed's decision will lead to an improvement in the U.S. economy.

Why do so many people care about the Fed's decisions?

Firstly, the Fed's interest rate adjustments directly affect everyone because they involve deposit interest and loan rates, which directly impact individual living costs and purchasing power.

Secondly, the broader impact of the Fed's interest rate adjustments is the change in liquidity. If the Fed decides to cut rates, they become less attractive. However, if they decide to maintain or raise rates, it may attract a significant amount of capital back to the United States.

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How significant is the impact of this capital repatriation on other countries worldwide?

Impact of capital repatriation on China.

As the most economically developed country in the world with a solid position for the U.S. dollar, the study of the Fed's interest rate adjustments is not only of interest to Americans but also to governments and financial analysts in many countries around the world.

Among them, of course, are central bank experts trying to study the impact of the Fed's decisions on their own economies, but there are also many ordinary people who are concerned about the Fed's interest rate adjustments, whether from a financial management perspective or from the stability of their own country's financial system.

For people outside the United States, paying attention to the Fed is not only for economic development but also to prevent the Fed's interest rate adjustments from causing significant adverse effects on their own country's economy.China is no exception. In the current era of advanced internet, Chinese people who pay attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments are no longer just professional economists and financial analysts. Many people have discussed how to benefit from it, and even some people have openly stated that they might profit hundreds of millions of yuan from it.

In fact, while paying attention to the Federal Reserve, it is also essential not to overlook that the Federal Reserve's decisions also reflect the economic conditions of the United States itself. As the world's largest economy, economic analysis of the United States has always been the most important.

If the U.S. economy is not good, the first to be affected will be the lives of ordinary Americans. Secondly, it may affect the status of the U.S. dollar in the global trade system and will have a significant impact on the global economic pattern.

Therefore, from this perspective, the decisions of the Federal Reserve may have a greater impact globally and may even affect China's economic trend.

From the current international surface, the U.S. economy is still developing in an overall positive trend. However, the contradiction between reality and numbers is inevitable, especially considering that the U.S. surface economy has not been very good recently, and there are many signs that the U.S. economy may have already peaked.

The claim that the U.S. economy has hidden dangers is not baseless but has some factual basis. The hidden danger lies in the fluctuations caused by the Federal Reserve's policy decisions, and this fluctuation is the hidden danger.

Since the Federal Reserve stated that it would not make further interest rate adjustments, economists at home and abroad who study the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments have begun to study the impact of interest rate cuts on the U.S. economy, getting caught up in the intricacies of how the U.S. will be affected by the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments.

For analysts at home and abroad, the United States is the most important economy globally, and the stability of the U.S. economy is directly related to the stability of the global economy. Therefore, it is not surprising that they have been conducting such research for a long time.

However, for ordinary Chinese people, whether the U.S. economy has hidden dangers is not what they are currently concerned about. Some people even think it is unnecessary worrying, as it is obvious that the U.S. economy has nothing to do with their own lives.

In fact, that's true. So far, the stability of the U.S. economy has not been greatly related to their own lives. However, the benefit of paying attention to the Federal Reserve is not that the U.S. economy is related to their own lives but that the economy will never develop in isolation. Its development will have an impact on the economies of other countries.In the era of globalization, if the U.S. economy falters, the development of new technology companies worldwide and large American corporations will be affected. These companies have global business coverage. Will the economic issues of these companies impact the economies of other nations?

Many people might think, if the U.S. economy is so crucial, what impact does it have on China, the second-largest economy?

Trillions of dollars sweep across the globe, with a price surge imminent.

Of course, China's economy is larger and more developed, and the U.S. economy does not have a significant impact on China's economy. However, precisely because China's economy is so stable, the instability of the U.S. economy has an undeniable potential impact on China's economy.

The U.S. economy is closely linked to China's economy. In the era of globalization, whether it is financial crises in the economy or natural disasters in some countries, they have a considerable impact on the global economy. Although China's domestic policies can respond to such impacts, the response still requires time and capital.

Additionally, as an emerging market economy, the flow of funds within China also has a significant impact. This is one of the reasons why emerging market countries are concerned about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.

The Federal Reserve's ability to attract capital is not only reflected in developed countries but also in emerging market countries with lower status.

The reasons are twofold. On one hand, it is because the United States has a high national status, and the Federal Reserve's years of experience and credibility are enough to make lower-status countries trust it. On the other hand, it is because the economic development of the United States as a developed country attracts global funds.

Many people in developed countries may already have enough capital for investment or financial management and want to seek greater returns. The economic development of the United States attracts people from emerging market countries who believe that, although their status is low, their country's development strength is one of the members of the group upgrading to developed countries. Following developed countries in development and construction is an opportunity to obtain greater returns.

Therefore, many wealthy people in emerging market countries choose to invest their funds in other countries. As the world's factory, in order to maintain the status of the "world's factory," China's continuous development of new technologies and inventions, and the process of improving economic strength may benefit from the funds attracted by the U.S. economy.In the midst of this, the reason why Chinese people should pay attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments gradually emerges. Due to the positive impact of the United States' development on the global economy, emerging market countries like China are more likely to receive a positive influence.

The significant connection between China's national economy and the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments is a product of the modern global industrial chain division of labor.

If people began discussing globalization in the 1980s, then twenty years later, they had already started discussing whether globalization could go deeper and further. When people had long been accustomed to the great convenience brought by the internet, the benefits of globalization had far outweighed the drawbacks.

However, not long ago, these benefits gradually led people to realize that due to the deeper connectivity of globalization, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, the global capital flow was held by developed countries. The international status of emerging market countries hardly changed, and emerging market countries had to pay a large amount of foreign debt to developed countries every year. Further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, or even more hikes, could make some emerging market countries unable to pay their debts, dragging down the world economy.

In this way, the U.S. economy might even head downhill, and a large number of financial risks could arise globally.

Therefore, as early as when the Federal Reserve began gradually lowering interest rates in 2018, we could see that Chinese people from all walks of life started paying attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments.

China-U.S. economic relations and their own money.

Why the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates and what it really wants to express is something that Chinese people need to understand well.

The primary reason for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates is to see a crisis emerging in its own country's economy, to try to avoid the occurrence and expansion of the crisis, and to take the initiative to lower interest rates to quell this crisis, just like previous rate cuts.

The reasons for lowering interest rates are not singular. Lowering interest rates could be due to recent trade imbalances in the United States, wanting to adjust to avoid the occurrence and expansion of an economic crisis. Lowering interest rates could also be due to recent short-term economic crises in the United States, lowering interest rates to save the crisis. In short, the purpose of lowering interest rates is to avoid significant fluctuations in the U.S. economy.However, the crisis in the United States arises due to issues with China's practices, or is it due to reasons within the United States itself?

As previously mentioned, emerging market countries benefit from the economic development of the United States. If the U.S. economy encounters a crisis, it may be because of issues with the practices of emerging market countries, but it is more likely due to reasons within the United States itself. Emerging market countries such as China need not overly concern themselves with this matter.

However, we cannot rule out the possibility that the crisis is caused by reasons within the United States itself, because globalization is not just a means of connection, but also a form of exchange of ideas. Just as urban transportation connects rural areas with cities, it still cannot restrict the exchange between urban transportation and rural communication, and conversely, it can also introduce urban ideas into rural areas.

Therefore, we do not need to overly focus on the direction of the U.S. economy, but we must also not completely believe that the U.S. economic problems are due to China's poor performance. We must maintain our own economy, have our own propositions, and not overly rely on the United States.

Of course, this is by no means to say that there is no connection between China and the United States. If the U.S. economy is not good, the Chinese economy will definitely be affected, but China is not helpless in avoiding this impact.

China has its own central bank and can adjust policies at any time to guide the domestic economy to adapt to the economic development of the United States, and even be able to counterbalance the economic development of a country.

Therefore, instead of overly focusing on the impact of the United States on China, it is better to maintain our own economy, understand economic connections, plan for our own money, which is more important for the Chinese people.

Conclusion

As a country with advanced internet development, many people's lives and work are closely related to the internet. Therefore, we need to develop the habit of thinking from an ideological perspective, not just treating ideological exchange as a method, but also as a state. From this, we can unravel and understand our own money.